The PointsBet Hustle™ is a newsletter spotlighting our biggest bets, juiciest boosts and strongest insights to get you ready for the best betting stretch of your life.
IN THIS ISSUE
THE MAIN EVENT: Is the Mahomes tax worth it?
EXPERT PICKS: Ryan and Jay are bullish on the Chiefs
KEY FACTS: Patrick Mahomes is favored for his 12th straight playoff start. And it’s a big number, requiring Chiefs backers to cough up the “Mahomes tax.” The Jags are averaging 29.2 points over their last six games – equal to the Chiefs for the season. And as an underdog this season, Jacksonville is 8-5 – both ATS AND outright.
TRENDING: KC is 2-7-1 ATS in its last 10 but 6-2 in its last eight playoff games at home. Trevor Lawrence has never lost a game on Saturday: 3-0 in high school, 32-0 at Clemson, 3-0 with the Jags.
INSIGHT: Despite all that jack pouring in on the Jags, the line has inched up to 9.5.
EXPERT PICKS
PointsBet studio host Ryan Leaf and NBC lead betting analyst Jay Croucher clash on Eagles-Giants. Ariel Epstein expects the Jags to air it out.
THE QUARTERBACK
Chiefs -9.5 vs. Jags (-110)
“Even when the Jags were almost perfect at Arrowhead (Nov. 13), they still lost by double digits. Andy Reid with 10+ days to prepare is pretty unbeatable.”
Giants +7.5 vs. Eagles (-110)
“I can’t make myself go straight Giants ML, but it won’t surprise me if they win. We’ll know pretty early, depending on how the Eagles use Hurts.”
THE BRAIN
Chiefs -9.5 vs. Jags (-110)
“The Jacksonville pass defense has no prayer against Mahomes at home off a bye.”
Eagles -7.5 vs. Giants (-110)
“Hurts is off the injury report and the defense is healthy. The Giants can’t stop the run.”
THE PROP QUEEN
Jags QB Trevor Lawrence Over 38.5 Passing Attempts (-110)
“KC is strong against the run and allows the third most pass attempts. Lawrence had 40 in their earlier meeting.”
Eagles RB Miles Sanders Under 10.5 Receiving Yards (-160)
“Kenneth Gainwell has taken on the receiving role, and the Giants allow the fourth fewest receiving yards per game to RBs.”
PointsBet will drop a Bet credit into your account today at 6 P.M. ET to use from 6-7 on a pregame Same Game Parlay on Giants-Eagles! The credit is good for all states but NY.
See Promotions page in the PointsBet app or website for full promotional Terms & Conditions.
Eagles -7.5: Philly is rested and throttled the Giants 48-22 on Dec. 11. Saquon Barkley shrunk in that game (9 carries, 28 yards).
Giants +7.5: Can Jalen Hurts really shoulder the load? Will Philly coaches protect him, and will the surging G-Men target him?
Over 48: Daniel (Crazylegs) Jones has rushed for 169 yards in his last two games and turned New York’s band of misfits into a respectable receiving corps. Philly, as we know, is loaded.
Under 48: Philly’s league-best passing ‘D’ will spell doom for the Giants, whose top WR, Isaiah Hodgins, was a waiver claim. The Eagles, with a big lead, could nurse the clock.
Our bettors believe there is NO way the Chiefs lose today at Arrowhead.
PointsBet sports analyst Mike Korn breaks down today’s lines.
What stands out in Jags-Chiefs? Is it that SO many clients are willing to risk their parlays by adding a -500 ML?
“Yes, an astounding 97% of our current moneyline handle is on Kansas City. Many bettors know that the Chiefs went just 6-10-1 ATS but still believe they definitely will win.”
Giants-Philly hasn’t budged. I’ve heard that most of the public is on the G-Men? Is that so, and could the spread sneak down to 7?
“We have 70% of the spread bet count and 65% of the spread handle on the Giants. Despite that, we recently shifted the line to 8 after opening at 7.5. I don’t see any way this game closes within a touchdown.”
Check out Divisional Weekend Specials under NFL Futures and you will find …
HIGHEST SCORING GAME: Bengals @ Bills (+270). Pass on Jags-Chiefs (+190) in favor of Josh Allen and Joe Cool.
LOWEST SCORING TEAM: Giants (+320). We’ll go with the chalk considering how Philly bruises opponents – 20.2 ppg.
MOST RECEIVING YARDS: Stefon Diggs (+600). Ja’Marr Chase (+500) is favored, but we dig Diggs against Cincinnati’s 24th-ranked passing ‘D.’
MOST RUSHING YARDS: Christian McCaffrey (+350). Likely a three-horse race with Barkley (+350) and Travis Etienne (+400), we like CMC. Or is it Run DMC?
LOWEST SCORING GAME: Jags @ Chiefs (+400). Our cajones play incorporates the weather forecast – 40 and rainy. And Trevor Lawrence is slightly prone to throwing picks.
