The PointsBet Hustle® is a newsletter spotlighting our biggest bets, juiciest promos and strongest insights to get you ready for the best betting stretch of your life.
IN THIS ISSUE
ASK THE TRADER: Could Jokic win MVP if Denver loses series?
EXPERT PICKS: Red-hot Q has his Game 3 pick on the ice
MARQUEE MATCHUP: Are clients backing Panthers at home?
COLOSSAL CLASH: Djokovic vs. Alcaraz … and it’s only the semis
Last night, Nikola Jokic became the first player in NBA Finals history to have at least 30 points, 20 rebounds and 10 assists in a single game. After leading Denver to a Game 3 win with that historic performance, it’s not a surprise to see Jokic’s Finals MVP odds swing from -260 to -800.
Interestingly, this is the first time that Jokic’s Finals MVP odds (-800) are the exact same as the Nuggets’ odds (-800) to win the series.
Does this mean Jokic is a lock to be awarded MVP if the Nuggets win? If the Nuggets lose, could Jokic still get it? We asked Head of Trading Kevin Lawler for his take on the Finals MVP market.
Lawler: “While Jamal Murray joined Jokic with a triple double of his own in Game 3, it’s almost a wrap for the big man if Denver wins the title. Historically, if you look at the Finals MVP winner, it’s always been the No. 1 guy on the team and this performance from Jokic is unlike anything we’ve seen in recent years in terms of dominance. That said, we don’t believe Jokic would get MVP ❌ if Miami wins. The Heat would need a massive performance in Denver, and it’s unlikely they get that without Jimmy Butler or Bam Adebayo going off.”
PointsBet is offering BEST ODDS on ANYTIME GOAL SCORER for Game 3 of the Stanley Cup Final. Starting at 6 p.m. ET, we’ll be boosting odds on the top players to put the puck past the goalie. We’ll have Matthew Tkachuk at +150 (from +105), Jonathan Marchessault at +210 (from +125) and Jack Eichel at +220 (from +140).
See Promotions page in the PointsBet app or website for full promotional Terms & Conditions.
EXPERT PICKS
Pucks expert Qordaseus “Q” Alexander hit both of his Game 2 bets, and has another in store for Game 3. PointsBet capper Daniel Parisi looks ahead to tomorrow morning's French Open action.
THE ICE MAN
Golden Knights ML (+100) @ Panthers [8 p.m. ET]
"The Knights are 7-2 in their last 9 road playoff games and show no signs of slowing down. A struggling Sergei Bobrovsky has allowed eight goals in less than 5 periods. The wrong team is favored here."
THE AGREEABLE ACE
Set Betting: Carlos Alcaraz 3-1 (+300) vs. Novak Djokovic [8:45 a.m. ET]
"Alcaraz stays active in points better than anyone on the circuit; his defense and speed accelerates a barrage of passing shots. At 36, Novak will certainly feel the pinch."
Alexander Zverev vs. Casper Ruud: Over 38.5 games (-130) [11:30 a.m. ET]
"These two have never met on clay, but Zverev has looked composed in Paris and Ruud proved his worth against Rune in the Quarters. Book in 4 long sets at a minimum, and play the overs."
THE LINES: Golden Knights (+100 ML) @ Panthers (-121 ML); Total 6 (Over -110/Under -110)
PUCK DROP: 8 p.m. ET
KEY FACTS:Jack Eichel (4 assists) and Jonathan Marchessault (3 Goals, 1 Assist) are responsible for half of Vegas’ 12 goals this series. On the flip side, Florida’s Matthew Tkachuk has been virtually non-existent with only 1 goal and 36 penalty minutes.
TRENDING: Florida is 0-7 on the power play, meanwhile Vegas has been the best even-strength team in the playoffs. The Golden Knights have won 34 consecutive playoff games when they score 3 goals, including 14 straight this year.
MAKING MOVES: Even with the majority of the handle on the Panthers, their Game 3 moneyline odds have worsened from -125 to -121. Meanwhile, the Knights are now at +100 from +105. If you think Florida just needed to go back home to regroup, its series price stands at +400. Before the Stanley Cup began, the Panthers were +105.
We are PUMPED for tomorrow’s French Open semifinals battle between No. 1 Carlos Alcaraz and No. 3 Novak Djokovic.
To help us analyze this epic matchup, we have Julian Rogers, the winningest tennis bettor at PointsBet. He’s cashed seven 6-figure parlays and you can follow him @jstunna96 on Instagram.
PRIOR HISTORY: Alcaraz is looking unbeatable and is in tiptop shape, while people have been questioning Djokovic’s fitness and play on the dirt this season. Alcaraz beat Djokovic in Madrid last year in their only prior meeting, with two of the three sets going to tiebreak in a very close match. But Novak is a different beast in best-of-5 sets.
HISTORY ON THE LINE: Djokovic is currently tied with Rafael Nadal with 22 Grand Slam men’s single titles, and he’d be the favorite to win at Roland Garros if he can upset Alcaraz. With two French Open titles already, Djokovic could also be the first men’s player to win all four Grand Slam tournaments at least three different times.
THE PICK: Alcaraz is great and runs circles around most people on tour, but I expect Djokovic to come in laser focused and he can dissect the young prodigy’s game like no other. The +170 price on Djokovic is great value and I expect the experience to outweigh the talent in this semifinal.
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