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October 24, 2023

OPENING TIP: 7:30 p.m. ET

KEY FACTS: The defending champion Nuggets are tied for the third-lowest title odds this year at +550 and Nikola Jokic is the MVP favorite at +400. Denver went 31-20-1 against the spread at home 🏠 last season (including playoffs).

MAKING MOVES: Denver opened as a 5-point favorite over the Lakers, but this was first bet down to Nuggets -4.5. After the line rose to as high as Nuggets -5.5 earlier today, it’s back to where it started at Nuggets -5. Meanwhile, the total has crept up from 227.5 to 228.5.

TOP PROP: LeBron James’ points prop against the Nuggets was released at 25.5 back on Oct. 20. It was bet down to 24.5 later that day and stayed there until Monday night, when it dipped again to 23.5.

Incredibly, James under points has gotten more money than either team has received to cover the spread. Here is a full breakdown of the action on James’ points prop, with the sharpest 🪒 wagers coming earlier on.

All bets on James’ points prop: Over 67.9% tickets, Under 84.9% handle
When James’ points prop was at 24.5 or 25.5: Under 62.1% tickets, 98.1% handle
When James’ points prop is at 23.5: Over 93.5% tickets, 98.3% handle