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March 18, 2024

One tip to having the edge of your friends and coworkers when filling out your bracket? Pick “upsets” where the worse-seeded team is actually favored in betting markets 👀.

Here are the five games that fit this bill for later this week.

#9 Michigan State -1.5 (-110) over #8 Mississippi State
The Spartans went from a preseason top-5 team to a No. 9 seed, but can Tom Izzo turn it around in March once again?

#9 TCU -3.5 (-110) over #8 Utah State
Utah State was in the opposite situation last season when the No. 10-seeded Aggies were 1-point favorites over No. 7 Missouri, but lost in the Round of 64.

#10 Nevada -1 (-110) over #7 Dayton
The Flyers have zero wins against at-large teams in the field, while Nevada has six 🤔.

#10 Drake -2 (-110) over #7 Washington State
We love Cinderellas in March, but a Pac-12 team making a deep run in its final season would be quite fun too.

#11 New Mexico -1.5 (-110) over #6 Clemson
This line feels like an indictment on the committee since New Mexico wouldn’t have even made the tournament if it didn’t win the Mountain West tournament.