The PointsBet Hustle™ is a newsletter spotlighting our biggest bets, juiciest boosts and strongest insights to get you ready for the best betting stretch of your life.
IN THIS ISSUE
THE MAIN EVENT: Can the Bills cover that whopper of a line?
EXPERT PICKS: Jay and Ryan are NSYNC
POWER HOUR: A Free Bet drop for In-Play action!
HUSTLE BOOST: Can Brady, Allen and Mahomes win by 7?
KEY FACTS: Zach Wilson crashed against the Patriots (three INTs) to lower his completion percentage to 54.9. WR Corey Davis (knee) is out but Elijah Moore (personal issues) might return. The Bills have looked invincible at times, feeding off the Josh Allen-Stefon Diggs connection. And they just added an effective RB in Nyheim Hines.
TRENDING: Buffalo is 7-2-1 ATS in its last 10 versus the AFC East. The fave is 4-1 in their last five meetings.
EXPERT PICKS
NBC lead betting analyst Jay Croucher and PointsBet studio host Ryan Leaf did not cheat off one another. We promise. Here are their best Sunday and SNF plays.
THE BOOK
Seahawks +1.5 over Cardinals (-107)
"The sample size is big enough now: Seattle is real. The offense is elite and the defense is rising."
Titans +12.5 over Chiefs (-110)
"King Henry will keep this close enough against a mediocre Chiefs rushing defense."
THE BIG NAME
Seahawks +1.5 over Cardinals (-107)
"Geno Smith is playing at a top-5 level, and the Cardinals remain too undisciplined for my taste."
Titans +12.5 over Chiefs (-110)
"Henry will have another big game; coach Mike Vrabel has this team once again believing."
Seahawks QB Geno Smith ⬇️ 250.5 Passing Yds (-110): For all his excellence (72.7 completion percentage, 3 INTs), Geno hasn’t topped 212 yards in his last three games.
Chargers QB Justin Herbert ⬆️ 280.5 Passing Yards (-115): Atlanta’s league-worst passing ‘D’ and has been positively fowl the last four weeks, allowing over 361 yards a game.
Dolphins TE Mike Gesicki ⬇️ 25.5 Receiving Yards (-115): The Bears are third best in holding down TEs, and despite an uptick in targets, Gesicki has topped 42 yards only once this season.
Rationale: The public has a Taylor Swift-level adoration for Josh Allen, but the sharps think the Jets, at home, can keep it close. The line has dropped from 13.
2. Rams (+3) @ Bucs
Pros: Bucs 79% handle
Joes: Rams 59% tickets
Rationale: The public wants a divorce⚖️ from Tom Brady, while the pros are not ready to put the GOAT out to pasture.
3. Colts (+5) @ Patriots
Pros: Colts 90% handle
Joes: Pats 62% tickets
Rationale: With the Colts coming off a tight loss to Washington, and the Pats having just grounded the Jets ✈️, this is a prime buy-low, sell-high spot for sharps.
4. Raiders @ Jaguars, 48 total
Pros: Over 88% handle
Joes: Under 63% tickets
Rationale: The Joes heard everyone ask: “Dude, where’s my Carr?” The pros don’t think the Raiders will get shut out again and also have faith in Trevor Lawrence against a bottom-10 defense.
KEY FACTS: The Titans have won five of the last six meetings against the Chiefs, and KC should remember the Titans shellacked them 27-3 last year in Nashville. In the last two weeks, Derrick “Downhill” Henry has rushed for 347 yards and “Pat-omic Bomb” Mahomes has passed for 761 yards. QB Ryan Tannehill (ankle) is expected to start over rookie Malik Willis.
TRENDING: Tennessee has covered five straight, and the Under has hit in four of those. The Chiefs have failed to cover their last four home games.
INSIGHT: The public favors the ‘dog, while the big bettors are chiefly on KC. Wait what?!